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Eric Basmajian
EPBResearch
Diminishing Marginal Returns The productivity of our debt is collapsing and that is creating a major problem.The problem is here now, and not in the future. Here is why:1) Charted
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M1 money supply is rising at nearly 70% year over yearWhat is going on and does this mean inflation is coming? Shorter Answer: NoLonger Answer: Not from the monetary channel1)
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Congress is threading the needle in terms of timing with the latest COVID relief package. Personal income, after a massive surge, is about to fall below the pre-pandemic trendline. Some
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Why you should be expecting “worse than average”… Graphed below is the trailing 10Y avg in real EPS and real GDP, indexed to 100 in 1990. Real EPS massively outpaced
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Bank credit is comprised of mostly "securities" and "loans"Securities are mostly US Treasury bonds and Mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Loans include real estate, C&I, credit cards etc. 1) Loans as a
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Why Stocks Will *Temporarily* Survive Higher Interest Rates 1) The long-term performance of equities is driven by economic fundamentals, as controversial as that seems. The 20-year compounded return in $IWM
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Re-levering a broken economy. A tale of stagnating economic growth and financial engineering. A thread (and an article).https://seekingalpha.com/article/4354112-chosen-path-re-leveraging-over-leveraged-economy-what-happens-next After the 20
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