Regarding the FDA letter to revoke the EUA/HCQ for COVID, it was partially based on the drugs clinical pharmacology/dosing
https://www.fda.gov/media/138945/download

FDA concludes that current dosing would produce concentration well below EC50, not sufficient to produce an antiviral effect
Papers 1 & 2 conclude current dosing can achieve antiviral effect, paper 3 concludes it cannot,
The 3 papers used differ modeling tech, but all corrected for protein binding and had similar predicted concentration

All 3 compared predicted conc at target cite relative to EC50
Difference is how each paper defined target cite
paper 1&2 looked at intraceullar conc at lung VS EC50

paper 3 looked at extraceullar conc (lung interstitial fluid) VS EC50
FDA letter agrees with paper 3 that extracullar conc should be used and not intraceullar
Their explanation seems reasonable, the in vitro experiments that estimated EC50 were based on extraceullar not intracellular conc

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7078228/

therefore extracell (lung interstitial fluid) conc is a better predictor of antiviral effect
This means current dosing used not sufficient to produce antiviral effect

If HCQ works then maybe due to its immunomodulatng effect

In RECOVERY trial they noticed this and used higher doses compared to other studies (2.4 g LD day 1, then 800 mg daily) https://www.recoverytrial.net 
Explanation by Dr. James Watson on the rationale behind the high doses used and why they think its safe

https://twitter.com/jwato_watson/status/1272734279659778048

To my knowledge study was stopped due lack of efficacy not safety concerns, meaning the higher doses were safe but not effective
Important to note, we still have limited understanding on PKPD of antivirals in general and HCQ

Other studies ongoing evaluating early treatment with HCQ, that will give us a better answer

but based on this most likely not to work
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