It's not 1-for-1 because we aren't sure on the distance Allen is throwing in these pictures but just look at the difference in shoulder tilt. That is what affects trajectory. Also, check the frontside arm/elbow. https://twitter.com/BradleyGelber/status/1275585884646182914
This was a really good rep by Allen against the Patriots. While he is a tad open because of his movement/scan from right to left, look at him find a platform, the tilt is minimal and his control is smooth throughout the release.
2018 Allen to Foster.

All-day and very good mechanics
Wrong day to over-emphasize his shoulder tilt. This put far too much arc on the ball and the wind shut it down...
Allen's tilt wasn't bad. But he doesn't get his body pointed or moving in the direction of the target. Plus, all of his weight is loaded on that back leg, so he is throwing off that back foot and isn't able to transfer that ground force up to his arm..Ball ends up short.
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