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How does Ontario compare to Florida when it comes to COVID-19?Is Rt over 1.0 âbadâ?Both places released EXACTLY 502 cases on May 19th. Since then? SEE BELOW. Could we have predicted this?
A TALE OF TWO PLACES. A THREAD.... by a HOSPITAL BIOSTATISTICIAN
...1/6
The Florida case count graph from May 14th looks IDENTICAL to the Ontario one from today, June 25th.
For comparison, I attached Floridaâs from May 14th as well as todayâs graphs from @jkwan_md and @salvella.
But could we have predicted Floridaâs decline?
KEEP READING.
...2/6
For comparison, I attached Floridaâs from May 14th as well as todayâs graphs from @jkwan_md and @salvella.
But could we have predicted Floridaâs decline?
KEEP READING.
...2/6
DAMN RIGHT we couldâve predicted Floridaâs decline!
This is where Rt comes in.
On May 7th and May 17th, Floridaâs Rt was at 1.40; Ontario was 0.92 and 1.02. Between these dates, we remained lower. The difference appears small but thatâs far from the truth.
KEEP READING
...3/6
This is where Rt comes in.
On May 7th and May 17th, Floridaâs Rt was at 1.40; Ontario was 0.92 and 1.02. Between these dates, we remained lower. The difference appears small but thatâs far from the truth.
KEEP READING
...3/6
The damage after May 19th was already done with Floridaâs heightened Rt PRECEDING May 19th. For the next two weeks, the Rtâs were quite similar for Florida and Ontario.
But on May 31st...Florida was at 739 cases per day, Ontario at 372.
Then came June.
KEEP READING
...4/6
But on May 31st...Florida was at 739 cases per day, Ontario at 372.
Then came June.KEEP READING
...4/6
Floridaâs Rt has averaged 1.38 in June; Ontarioâs sits at 0.86.
A relatively small difference, right?
Well
to TODAY: Florida released 5,511 cases; Ontario released 189. 
Now letâs look at the CASES and Rt on one graph.
KEEP READING
...5/6 @DFisman
A relatively small difference, right?
Well
to TODAY: Florida released 5,511 cases; Ontario released 189. Now letâs look at the CASES and Rt on one graph.
KEEP READING
...5/6 @DFisman
FLORIDA:
May 19th - 502 daily cases
June 25th - 5552
Rt over this stretch - 1.24
ONTARIO:
May 19th - 502 daily cases
June 25th - 189
Rt over this stretch - 0.91
If this doesnât speak volumes about needing Rt<1.0 I donât know what does. Letâs NOT be Florida.
MANDATORY MASKING
May 19th - 502 daily cases
June 25th - 5552
Rt over this stretch - 1.24
ONTARIO:
May 19th - 502 daily cases
June 25th - 189
Rt over this stretch - 0.91
If this doesnât speak volumes about needing Rt<1.0 I donât know what does. Letâs NOT be Florida.
MANDATORY MASKING
