Read on Twitter
Prof. Omi, the head of the current panel of experts advising the government on the coronavirus, says the effective reproduction number of the virus in Tokyo has risen to 1.3.
Cases are not falling, but also not rising explosively, and gaining only slowly, he says.
Cases are not falling, but also not rising explosively, and gaining only slowly, he says.
He used the word "overshoot"! (in the sense that it's not happening). Haven't heard that one in months.
Omi emphasizes infections are not happening at supermarkets, offices or public facilities that are taking proper precautions. But they are happening at places where the Three Cs occur and people talk loudly.
(Yes this is not what presentation slides are supposed to be used for)
(Yes this is not what presentation slides are supposed to be used for)
(Random thought - for some reason even though he's saying stuff we've already heard, Omi is a very enjoyable speaker to listen to -- he breaks issues down well. Must be his bedside manner..?)
To keep the infections under control and the economy alive, the expert panel is proposing this to the govt.
Goals:
1) Keep infections at a controllable level and reduce deaths and serious cases to a minimum
2) Flip the infection level (# of cases) to a downward trend asap
1/
Goals:
1) Keep infections at a controllable level and reduce deaths and serious cases to a minimum
2) Flip the infection level (# of cases) to a downward trend asap
1/
To accomplish, they want to have
1) Individuals and businesses work to make a society where it's hard for the infection to spread
2) tackling clusters as quickly as possible
3) health system works to reduce and tackle serious cases
1) Individuals and businesses work to make a society where it's hard for the infection to spread
2) tackling clusters as quickly as possible
3) health system works to reduce and tackle serious cases
Clusters can't be prevented, Omi says. Stategies that can be put into place now include
- tackling clusters asap
- avoiding infections using the Three Cs
- aiding public health centers and strengthening the health system
- tackling clusters asap
- avoiding infections using the Three Cs
- aiding public health centers and strengthening the health system
If more severe measures were taken, such as a lockdown, Japan could tackle the virus more quickly, Omi says.
BUT, he says, that's not the goal. The goal is to keep the economy running while also managing the infection.
BUT, he says, that's not the goal. The goal is to keep the economy running while also managing the infection.
Nishimura is fond of this chart comparing stats from now and when the state of emergency was declared, to show how the situation is different now - hospital beds up, positive infection rate down, and so on
That's it, folks, the briefing's over. Now to enjoy a four-day weekend on the tow-- oh wait.
