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THREAD 2 OF 2 - TEAMS TO TARGET, PAST 4 GWs, A MUST FOR THE GW38 FH!
Will take you through each team worthy of targeting with something to play for OR on red hot form and their best assets based on the past 4 GW's.
Hoping this gives you insight as for which players could be key!
Will take you through each team worthy of targeting with something to play for OR on red hot form and their best assets based on the past 4 GW's.
Hoping this gives you insight as for which players could be key!
#1 MAN CITY
Nothing to play for but perhaps the most attacking outfit in the PL against a Norwich team who have been nothing short of woeful and now have 2 suspended players, a must target fixture. Only looking at MID/FWD position
HM's order from game vs Watford - GJ, PF, RS, KDB
Nothing to play for but perhaps the most attacking outfit in the PL against a Norwich team who have been nothing short of woeful and now have 2 suspended players, a must target fixture. Only looking at MID/FWD position
HM's order from game vs Watford - GJ, PF, RS, KDB
MAN CITY: Shots/xG/xA
Jesus - 14/2.8/0.4
Foden - 13/3.1/0.2
Sterling - 13/3.1/0.2
Mahrez - 9/1.5/1.2
KDB - 5/0.3/1.9
VERDICT: A rested Mahrez my main target (doesn't consider his lack of minutes) Sterling with a late charge for golden boot also - If Cancelo starts looks great
Jesus - 14/2.8/0.4
Foden - 13/3.1/0.2
Sterling - 13/3.1/0.2
Mahrez - 9/1.5/1.2
KDB - 5/0.3/1.9
VERDICT: A rested Mahrez my main target (doesn't consider his lack of minutes) Sterling with a late charge for golden boot also - If Cancelo starts looks great
#2 SPURS
A must win game vs Palace should they hope for a top 6 finish, against a team who have appeared on the beach with nothing to play for.
4 key HM's from the 3-1 win over NEW(GW37) who you may consider before attacking stats over past 4(in order) - Aurier, Davies, Son, Kane
A must win game vs Palace should they hope for a top 6 finish, against a team who have appeared on the beach with nothing to play for.
4 key HM's from the 3-1 win over NEW(GW37) who you may consider before attacking stats over past 4(in order) - Aurier, Davies, Son, Kane
SPURS: Shots/xG/xA (past 4 GWs)
Kane: 12/2.6/0.7
Son: 8/1.3/0.2
Moura: 6/0.9/0.6
GLC: 2/0.3/0.2
VERDICT: Davies and Aurier have matched each other for both xG and xA, double Spurs defence not the worst option if unable to fit both Kane and Son in imo
Kane: 12/2.6/0.7
Son: 8/1.3/0.2
Moura: 6/0.9/0.6
GLC: 2/0.3/0.2
VERDICT: Davies and Aurier have matched each other for both xG and xA, double Spurs defence not the worst option if unable to fit both Kane and Son in imo
#3 BOURNEMOUTH
Undoubtedly a differential punt, but Everton have looked bereft of ideas and they still have an outside chance of surviving the drop should they win, all to play for
HMs below from GW35 4-1 win vs LEI - Rico (on corners), Stanislas (on at HT), C. Wilson, Brooks
Undoubtedly a differential punt, but Everton have looked bereft of ideas and they still have an outside chance of surviving the drop should they win, all to play for
HMs below from GW35 4-1 win vs LEI - Rico (on corners), Stanislas (on at HT), C. Wilson, Brooks
BOU: Shots/xG/xA (past 4 GWs)
Rico: 2/0.1/0.7
Wlson: 8/1/0.2
Solanke: 5/1.6/0
Stanislas: 6/1.5/0.5
VERDICT: Stanislas a tidy looking midfield punt to free up funds but with so many midfield options available Rico would be my go to player here given he is on corners
Rico: 2/0.1/0.7
Wlson: 8/1/0.2
Solanke: 5/1.6/0
Stanislas: 6/1.5/0.5
VERDICT: Stanislas a tidy looking midfield punt to free up funds but with so many midfield options available Rico would be my go to player here given he is on corners
#4 VILLA
Currently in 17th, a reasonable chance 1 point allows them to survive the drop providing Watford don't beat Arsenal, certainly a punt but fighting for their lives.
HMs from their GW36 2-0 win vs Crystal Palace: Mohamady, Trezeguet, Grealish, Samatta
Currently in 17th, a reasonable chance 1 point allows them to survive the drop providing Watford don't beat Arsenal, certainly a punt but fighting for their lives.
HMs from their GW36 2-0 win vs Crystal Palace: Mohamady, Trezeguet, Grealish, Samatta
AVL: Shots/xG/xA
Grealish: 10/0.4/0.5
Trezeguet: 7/0.8/0
McGinn: 7/0.3/0.2
ElM: 0/0/0.8
Samatta: 3/0.4/0
VERDICT: Samatta through the middle but really struggled to get many shots off, would much prefer Grealish or Trezeguet as an asset. McGinn lots of low xG shots
Grealish: 10/0.4/0.5
Trezeguet: 7/0.8/0
McGinn: 7/0.3/0.2
ElM: 0/0/0.8
Samatta: 3/0.4/0
VERDICT: Samatta through the middle but really struggled to get many shots off, would much prefer Grealish or Trezeguet as an asset. McGinn lots of low xG shots
#5 WEST HAM
May feel counter productive to also list the team Villa face, but WHU have been on absolute fire since the resumption of the prem, and looked good vs MUN despite already securing their place in the prem.
HMs from GW36 3-1 win vs WAT: Soucek, Bowen, Cresswell, Antonio
May feel counter productive to also list the team Villa face, but WHU have been on absolute fire since the resumption of the prem, and looked good vs MUN despite already securing their place in the prem.
HMs from GW36 3-1 win vs WAT: Soucek, Bowen, Cresswell, Antonio
WHU: Shots/xG/xA (past 4 GWs)
Antonio: 20/4.7/0.3
Bowen: 11/0.5/1.3
Soucek: 12/1.8/0.1
VERDICT: No defensive WHU assets look good on the attacking front, but these 3 all look great - Bowen with a particularly high xA due to his corners being aimed at Soucek, Antonio unreal xG
Antonio: 20/4.7/0.3
Bowen: 11/0.5/1.3
Soucek: 12/1.8/0.1
VERDICT: No defensive WHU assets look good on the attacking front, but these 3 all look great - Bowen with a particularly high xA due to his corners being aimed at Soucek, Antonio unreal xG
#6 CHELSEA
In need of 1 point to secure top 4, however given how loose they are at the back I don't think they are capable of shutting up shop vs Wolves who are likely going to be in need of a win for top 6.
HMs from their 5-3 loss vs LIV: James, Willian, Mount, Pulisic (60m sub)
In need of 1 point to secure top 4, however given how loose they are at the back I don't think they are capable of shutting up shop vs Wolves who are likely going to be in need of a win for top 6.
HMs from their 5-3 loss vs LIV: James, Willian, Mount, Pulisic (60m sub)
CHE: Shots/xG/xA (past 4 GWs)
James: 1/0.1/0.6
Giroud: 14/3.3/0.4
Pulisic: 9/0.8/1.2
Willian: 6/0.9/1.2
VERDICT: Willian having been on penalties makes him look slightly more appealing with xG, if Jorginho plays then Pulisic becomes better. Would avoid defensive frailties
James: 1/0.1/0.6
Giroud: 14/3.3/0.4
Pulisic: 9/0.8/1.2
Willian: 6/0.9/1.2
VERDICT: Willian having been on penalties makes him look slightly more appealing with xG, if Jorginho plays then Pulisic becomes better. Would avoid defensive frailties
#7 WOLVES
Whilst Chelsea are worth considering, as are their opponents - both teams targeting a win as Wolves could do with securing top 6 due to the FA Cup Final, this could be a game with end to end action.
HMs from their 2-0 win vs CRY: Jonny, Doherty, Traore, Jimenez
Whilst Chelsea are worth considering, as are their opponents - both teams targeting a win as Wolves could do with securing top 6 due to the FA Cup Final, this could be a game with end to end action.
HMs from their 2-0 win vs CRY: Jonny, Doherty, Traore, Jimenez
WOL: Shots/xG/xA (past 4 GWs)
Jimenez: 9/1.4/0.2
Jota: 5/1/0.3
Traore: 5/0.9/0.5
Doherty: 3/0.1/0.8
Jonny: 1/0.1/0.1
VERDICT: If chasing Traore could be a solid punt, a key match so likely to start in a game with opportunity to counter - Raul not a bad option either.
Jimenez: 9/1.4/0.2
Jota: 5/1/0.3
Traore: 5/0.9/0.5
Doherty: 3/0.1/0.8
Jonny: 1/0.1/0.1
VERDICT: If chasing Traore could be a solid punt, a key match so likely to start in a game with opportunity to counter - Raul not a bad option either.
#8: WATFORD
In need of points to survive, against an Arsenal team with their eyes firmly fixed on the FA Cup Final, a game where an early goal could mean they shut up shop quick should Villa news favour.
HMs from their 2-1 win vs NCL in GW35: Femenia, Doucoure, Deeney, Welbeck
In need of points to survive, against an Arsenal team with their eyes firmly fixed on the FA Cup Final, a game where an early goal could mean they shut up shop quick should Villa news favour.
HMs from their 2-1 win vs NCL in GW35: Femenia, Doucoure, Deeney, Welbeck
WAT: Shots/xG/xA (past 4 GWs)
Dawson: 8/1.7/0.3
Sarr: 3/0.1/0.6
Doucoure: 5/0.4/0.1
Deeney: 5/2.3/0.5
Welbeck: 10/1.6/0.1
VERDICT: Deeney on penalties isn't a bad option but firmly believe Dawson is a great option given his goal threat
Dawson: 8/1.7/0.3
Sarr: 3/0.1/0.6
Doucoure: 5/0.4/0.1
Deeney: 5/2.3/0.5
Welbeck: 10/1.6/0.1
VERDICT: Deeney on penalties isn't a bad option but firmly believe Dawson is a great option given his goal threat
#9: UNITED
Won't be covering Leicester due to their injury list being ever growing which should firmly favour United - Leicester need to attack which should leave gaps for MUN to attack.
HMs from their GW35 2-2 vs SOU (who allowed them to counter): Greenwood, Rash, Martial, Bruno
Won't be covering Leicester due to their injury list being ever growing which should firmly favour United - Leicester need to attack which should leave gaps for MUN to attack.
HMs from their GW35 2-2 vs SOU (who allowed them to counter): Greenwood, Rash, Martial, Bruno
MUN: Shots/xG/xA (past 4 GWs)
Green: 7/0.5/0.5
Rash:10/2.2/0.7
Martial: 10/1.2/1
Bruno: 9/1.7/0.8
VERDICT: Low xA/xG for both AWB and Maguire, Bruno the best pick here however without penalties it seems Rashford is optimal - Greenwoods positioning did improve vs WHU however
Green: 7/0.5/0.5
Rash:10/2.2/0.7
Martial: 10/1.2/1
Bruno: 9/1.7/0.8
VERDICT: Low xA/xG for both AWB and Maguire, Bruno the best pick here however without penalties it seems Rashford is optimal - Greenwoods positioning did improve vs WHU however
#10: LIVERPOOL
May not have anything to play for, but we know how explosive they can be and facing a Newcastle team in the same situation, and unlikely to have large amounts of rotation.
HMs from their GW34 2-0 win vs AVL: TAA, Robbo, Mane, Salah
May not have anything to play for, but we know how explosive they can be and facing a Newcastle team in the same situation, and unlikely to have large amounts of rotation.
HMs from their GW34 2-0 win vs AVL: TAA, Robbo, Mane, Salah
LIV: Shots/xG/xA (past 4 GWs)
TAA: 4/0.1/0.8
Robbo: 4/0.2/1
VVD: 3/0.5/0.3
Mane: 11/1/0.6
Salah: 21/3.6/1
VERDICT: All depends on lineup, but without that info VVD played 90 mins in every PL game so I like him as an option. Salah clearly remains hungry and a very high ceiling
TAA: 4/0.1/0.8
Robbo: 4/0.2/1
VVD: 3/0.5/0.3
Mane: 11/1/0.6
Salah: 21/3.6/1
VERDICT: All depends on lineup, but without that info VVD played 90 mins in every PL game so I like him as an option. Salah clearly remains hungry and a very high ceiling
HIGHEST xGI (goal involvement), (past 4GWs, all clubs):
Antonio (5), Salah (4.6), Vardy (4), Giroud (3.7), Raheem/Kane (3.3), Jesus (3.2), Ings (3.1), Rash (2.9), Deeney (2.8), Mahrez (2.6)
DEF: Dawson (2), Robbo (1.2), Alonso/Digne (1.1), TAA/Konsa (1), Ritchie/Doh (0.9)
Antonio (5), Salah (4.6), Vardy (4), Giroud (3.7), Raheem/Kane (3.3), Jesus (3.2), Ings (3.1), Rash (2.9), Deeney (2.8), Mahrez (2.6)
DEF: Dawson (2), Robbo (1.2), Alonso/Digne (1.1), TAA/Konsa (1), Ritchie/Doh (0.9)
And that's your lot! Thanks for reading, had an earful from the missus as I spent my day off compiling this 
so likes/RTs greatly appreciated! Feel free to tag your bros in it, understand @lateriser12 & @FPL_eye were keen to be tagged!
GL in GW38+ may your arrows be green!
so likes/RTs greatly appreciated! Feel free to tag your bros in it, understand @lateriser12 & @FPL_eye were keen to be tagged! GL in GW38+ may your arrows be green!
