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UPDATE ON THE KHEYRE CRISIS; A Thread.
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Key Groups and stakeholders In the latest development:
Farmaajo- The President of the Federal Government of Somalia.
FNP- Forum for National Parties.
Aala Sheikh: Political group lead by SSA.
Dam Jadid: Political group lead by HSM.
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Key Groups and stakeholders In the latest development:
Farmaajo- The President of the Federal Government of Somalia.
FNP- Forum for National Parties.
Aala Sheikh: Political group lead by SSA.
Dam Jadid: Political group lead by HSM.
SSA- Shariif Sheikh Ahmed. Former president and chair of the FNP.
HSM: Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. Former president and influential member of FNP.
Ahmed Fiqi- Current Defence Minister of Galmudug and an affiliate of Aala Sheikh.
HSM: Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. Former president and influential member of FNP.
Ahmed Fiqi- Current Defence Minister of Galmudug and an affiliate of Aala Sheikh.
What transpired so far:
Realising how slim his chances of reelection are, Prez Farmaajo sets his eyes on term extension of two years.
Realising how slim his chances of reelection are, Prez Farmaajo sets his eyes on term extension of two years.
Slim because Qatar, his major sponsor and their broker Fahad Yasin are already auditioning prospective presidential candidates.
Obstacles:
PM Kheyre, his right-hand man, and a capable politician insists on a timely election.
Prez Farmaajo has to get rid of him.
Obstacles:
PM Kheyre, his right-hand man, and a capable politician insists on a timely election.
Prez Farmaajo has to get rid of him.
Using this as an opportunity to kill two birds with one stone, Prez Farmaajo seeks an ally that can both earn him a term extension and support from the opposition groups.
One name stands out, -HSM.
How?
HSM enjoys a significant support in parliament since he helped set it up in 2016, he is also a major voice in the opposition.
How?
HSM enjoys a significant support in parliament since he helped set it up in 2016, he is also a major voice in the opposition.
Behind Sheikh Sharif’s back, HSM promises Farmaajo, a support in parliament for:
1. Vote against Kheyre, (Mahad Salaad and Odawaa, Dam Jadid loyalist MPs are seen jubilant in Parliament after the Kheyre vote).
2. Campaign for a term extension.
1. Vote against Kheyre, (Mahad Salaad and Odawaa, Dam Jadid loyalist MPs are seen jubilant in Parliament after the Kheyre vote).
2. Campaign for a term extension.
In return, HSM gets
1. To pick the next PM (hearing on the grapevine, Ahmed Fiqi is a frontrunner to both appease SSA, and to keep FNP intact).
2. Two years later, Farmaajo will support HSM’s bid to return to the highest office in the land.
1. To pick the next PM (hearing on the grapevine, Ahmed Fiqi is a frontrunner to both appease SSA, and to keep FNP intact).
2. Two years later, Farmaajo will support HSM’s bid to return to the highest office in the land.
This puts HSM at an advantage to shape the coming election.
After PM Kheyre was voted out, HSM tries to convince SSA to support the President (HSM, a man who critiqued the Farmaajo admin for every little thing, hasn’t yet said a word on Kheyre’s controversial dismissal).
After PM Kheyre was voted out, HSM tries to convince SSA to support the President (HSM, a man who critiqued the Farmaajo admin for every little thing, hasn’t yet said a word on Kheyre’s controversial dismissal).
SSA disagrees with HSM and releases a statement that criticises the vote.
Although the statement was released through FNPs official Facebook page, Mahad Salaad, a Dam Jadid loyalist and a popular personality on Social Media, promptly labels the statement false.
Although the statement was released through FNPs official Facebook page, Mahad Salaad, a Dam Jadid loyalist and a popular personality on Social Media, promptly labels the statement false.
There are simultaneous talks between Farmaajo and HSM to finalise their deal, and also HSM and SSA to be on the same page.
Behind closed doors, HSM argues that the END justifies the MEANS. The END meaning winning back the presidency.
Behind closed doors, HSM argues that the END justifies the MEANS. The END meaning winning back the presidency.
If Aala Sheikh gets the PM for the next two years, FNP doesn't split making SSA happy and ultimately gives HSM what he wants, to shape the election.
THE END.
THE END.
