Seems to me HMG is rehashing an old argument that *used* to have validity: that a hard economic border between NI and GB is a problem for the Good Friday Agreement too (not just NI-ROI).

Problem is: the deed was done, a consent clause was added, and Stormont came back 1/ https://twitter.com/mckinneytweets/status/1303596588779143169
There are legitimate criticisms of EU’s behaviour:

1. Ignored unionism/double consent
2. Wilfully mischaracterised GFA
3. Took unnecessarily maximalist position that destabilised NI

Perhaps.

But, a deal was reached and NI has been quiet(ish) 2/
Again, it’s possible to question EU’s position today:

1. Is it abusing power of Irish protocol to force UK concessions?
2. Is it acting in good faith?
3. Is it abusing strength, demanding too much?

🤷‍♂️

But again, it can hardly be blamed for defending its interests maximally 3/
Truth is, divergence (the whole point of Brexit) makes things difficult in NI.

The backstop/frontstop was the medicine to allow an internationally acceptable hard Brexit, fair or not.

Did it need to be as bitter? Debatable. But we swallowed it & the side effects were minimal 4/
The point is, the original argument that the backstop itself threatened the GFA because it trampled on the consent principle no longer works particularly well, because the protocol has a consent clause and unionism hasn’t erupted over the perceived 2019 betrayal 5/
The clause buried within the protocol that allows for unilateral suspension of its provisions only applies, as far as I can see, if there’s been social unrest, riots etc. That hasn’t happened. In fact, Stormont is back up and running 6/
Problem for UK now is that without regurgitating the protocol medicine, the scale of the UK state’s defeat from 2016-2020 might seem too much.

Can Brexiteers allow Brexit to mean an internal economic border AND rule taking? Or an even harder internal border and no FTA at all? 7/
From 2016-20 🇬🇧 dealt itself a bad hand and contrived to play it badly. In 2019, Boris didn’t change the deck, but pulled a confidence trick—and created the space for a potential settlement in which both sides walked away with something. Now it seems we’re back to zero-sum 8/end
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