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@rtenews @PatKennyNT @hselive @FergalBowers
1/6 The question that has been posed is why is the rate of transmission of COVID-19 in Dublin not dropping as fast as the rest of the country? #COVID19ireland #COVID19
1/6 The question that has been posed is why is the rate of transmission of COVID-19 in Dublin not dropping as fast as the rest of the country? #COVID19ireland #COVID19
2/6 The r-number in Dublin and Ireland fell at similar rates over the period 15 Oct – 26 Oct. Since then Dublin has ‘stuck’, albeit at a level below 1 (between 0.8 and 0.9), while the rest of Ireland continued to fall to a lower level (to about 0.75).
3/6 The driver might be transmission from the bordering counties. Each morning, the volumes of traffic on the roads anecdotally tells us that there is far more movement of people now than there was in March & April.
4/6 CSO data shows us that 18% of the people working in Dublin (90k of 512k) come from outside the city & suburbs. So each day, a high proportion of the people working in Dublin are travelling from the adjacent commuter belt counties.
5/6 The incidence in the commuter belt is 50% higher than in Dublin (to Oct 26). It is essentially impossible to isolate Dublin from these bordering counties.
6/6 Please remember our behaviours impact transmission, not the government issued framework and suite of controls: keep your distance, minimise your contacts, wear a mask, wash your hands, practice good cough etiquette, isolate when necessary.
