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Only 10% of cases are linked to outbreaks.
We can't make conclusions with the 90%
We can't make conclusions with the 90%
We need to deal with the 90%.
In LTC homes, one case is an outbreak but that same criterion cannot be used for bars. https://www.cbc.ca/listen/live-radio/1-45-ontario-today
In LTC homes, one case is an outbreak but that same criterion cannot be used for bars. https://www.cbc.ca/listen/live-radio/1-45-ontario-today
Community outbreak = we don't know how you caught the virus
Outbreaks typically happen among staff at bars but clients are still in the restaurant and they contribute to the indoor gathering
Contract tracing is hard enough - data won't always be great.
Do you remember what you did a week ago? Most folks don't.
Do you remember what you did a week ago? Most folks don't.
"We need to tackle the places where social gatherings happen. They happen typically in gyms and restaurants unfortunately," says @ihpmeuoft Prof. Peter Juni
"Everything we're doing has harmful effects and we need to understand those. The table is trying to get better at understanding it," says Prof. Juni
"The interventions are to interrupt transmission and it never feels elegant and nice. Test and tracing doesn't work when the cases explode. That's where we were at the beginning," says Prof. Juni.
Students are stationary and they stay in their classes but if you're in a restaurant - people are coming and going- it's much more difficult to get it into control. Prof Juni acknowledges that it might not always be the case for all grades/age group.
In regards to the guidelines: "This is a challenge," says Prof. Juni. "Finding the right balance is difficult. But right now, we don't want to bend too much because it can backfire."
A lesson for all of us: Plain and clear language for the win.
E.g.:
- Community transmission
- Outbreaks
#scicomms
E.g.:
- Community transmission
- Outbreaks
#scicomms
"We're all tired and it's difficult. Even with the misinformation. Not every pre-print is great. However, let's see where we are. We learned so much. We need to look at what actually works. We pulled it off so far. Let's keep talking," says Prof. Juni
Thank you for following the thread, typos and all! Thank you Prof. Peter Juni for your hard work.
