Thread: 1/ A not so popular thought at the time, but something to keep in the back of your minds while risk managing portfolios… While it appears as if you can’t present a political thought one way or the other without pissing 50% of people off, there is a real probability ...
2/ ..to the below, too important to ignore or not be mindful of.

In 2000, AL GORE held the “title” of President Elect for 35 days (11/7/2000 until 12/12/200)- Contrary to popular opinion: The Media, AP, financial pundits are NOT the final arbiter of the US Presidential Election.
3/ They weren’t in 2000, they are NOT today. Unless Trump CONCEDES, which he has NOT YET done - the most highly probabilistic outcome becomes, Trump’s legal disputes finds its way to the Supreme Court. Outcomes could range from:
4/ 1. No ballot tampering - President elect “Biden” wins - sweet - game over...

(OR HOLD YOUR HORSES)

2. They could rule that the election is invalid due to fraud or mistakes on a country wide scale - creating a few more outcomes… which leads to:
5/ a. they could rule that ALL mail in ballots be "deemed unconstitutional" and be removed ordering states to recount without them?!

OR

b. they could rule the election is invalid due to mass voter fraud and at that point it will be sent to the congress and senate for a vote?!
6/ The vote would then go to the House/Congress… Where EVERY STATE gets one vote - it has nothing to do with who’s in power - currently 30 states are held by R and 19 by D.

They HAVE to vote down party line per the 12th Amendment as I read/understand it while ...
7/ the Senate votes for the VP where a similar scenario is likely to occur?!

This is where constitutional LAW comes into play - not mere opinion. Some highly successful and intelligent attorneys hold this view…
8/ It might also be important to note that in 2000 - NOW SCOTUS justices Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett were both involved in GORE v. BUSH. They know the ins and outs of the decision - the arguments for and against.
9/ It is our opinion that very few are even considering this outcome today. Markets knee jerk by nature. Main Stream news could very well be promoting a sideshow, a marketing campaign as to say that Trump is stealing the election with his SCOTUS nominees SHOULD the above occur🤷‍♂️
10/ Again - 50% of those reading may like or dislike the above thoughts though it doesn’t make them irrelevant or incorrect.

WHEN PERSONAL BIAS SUPERSEDES THAT WHICH IS "PROCESS" and "CONSTITUTIONAL LAW" DEMOCRACY LOSES ON EVERY LEVEL.
11/ To suggest in one breath that Trump should just give up while the possibility of fraud exists may be shortsighted. To put full faith that Biden has won prior to the process working itself through, too is likely premature - setting many up for what could be a reversal/unwind..
12/ of what’s taking place today?!

The courts may very well rule, ZERO tampering or fraud took place. great: to the victor goes the spoils - but to throw all caution to the wind and NOT properly risk manage your portfolios based upon realistic outcomes may not be the best idea!
13/ this is not a post for or against "a side", but one laying out a realistic outcome that most are ignoring (we believe irresponsibly)

Thoughts? discuss.. @gamesblazer06 @GeorgeGammon @RaoulGMI @QTRResearch @DonutShorts @JCOviedo6 @DiMartinoBooth
Am I completely bat shit crazy here guys? less agreement I think the more my conviction grows?! 🤷‍♂️ @SantiagoAuFund @Convertbond @BuckSexton @mcm_ct @BlacklionCTA @DavidBCollum @pboockvar @HayekAndKeynes @RudyHavenstein @cppinvest @EpsilonTheory
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