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I should be more clear; NYT published an analysis this week claiming that the '20 Black vote share in GA hit its lowest level since at least '06. They were wrong. https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1329589937784631297
The black vote share actually increased over 2016. The electorate, overall, was the most diverse in the history of GA. It was the white vote share that hit a new low point, yet NYT didn't mention that.
How did they reach this incorrect conclusion? They excluded the roughly 8% of Georgians who didn't identify a race when they registered to vote...
This share has increased steadily over the past few years. So by that method, yes, the Black vote share hit a new low, as did every race. But for some reason the NYT analysis only identified the Black vote share as hitting a new low, not noting the same for the white vote share.
Our analysis allocates races based on other self reported and modeled sources for the 8% of Georgians who didn't identify their race on their registration. But here's another analysis with a similar conclusion to ours. The white vote share dropped to a new low.
I don't know why the NYT claimed "the Black share of the electorate fell to its lowest level since 2006", nor why they even included a graphic to back this claim up, while not noting the gap in the analysis nor the fact that the white share had dropped more.
