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Something I've been thinking about with the emergence of former Sashi picks Emmanuel Ogbah and Jabrill Peppers in their 5th and 4th years. Are late breakouts like that good or bad picks? Does the drafting team really need results in the first couple years to matter?
And other 1st/2nd round Sashi picks fit a similar mold, without the eventual success. You could have predicted that Corey Coleman, DeShone Kizer and David Njoku (still less than a year older than 2020 pick Adam Trautman) would take longer than normal to adjust to the NFL
I guess my large question is if those types of prospects are overvalued, because the "upside" comes at the cost of longer timelines for development that don't fit with the win-now needs of coaches and GMs
There's probably a sweet spot in finding overlooked/undervalued prospects without having to use premium draft capital and coaching development time to eventually benefit the rest of the league
This type of drafting for upside might only really work in conjunction with volume drafting, which Sashi & Co were building towards but never had the opportunity to invest the spoils in 2018
One last thought: the change to a fully guaranteed fifth-year option for first-round picks means that more slowly developing picks won't have the option picked up and will end up on another team after a 4th-year breakout
