19 Dec: India crossed 1 crore reported #COVID19 cases & 145171 deaths
👉Only 3.1L active cases
👉1M new cases & 13.5K deaths were added in the past month
▶️Follow this thread to know important trends at the national, state & district level
1/
👉Cases growing at the rate of 0.26% while it was 0.44% when we were at 9M
👉Daily active cases in -ve territory & is at 3.1L
👉Daily tests averaged 10.6L past 7 days down from 9.3 when were are at 9M
👉Daily deaths ~358 while it used to be 500 level when we were at 9M cases
2/
👉Growth of tests slightly above that of cases now
👉Daily TPR at 2.4%
👉only 7.32 (45.7%) of the 16 crores tests so far are RT-PCR
👉Most states do not report test results by type of tests
3/
👉Numbers of tests & reported cases have been disproportional across states
👉E.g., Maharashtra has reported ~19% of all cases in India while did only 7% of tests
👉UP & Bihar together did 22.8% of all tests in India, yet reported only 8.2% of cases
4/
👉The reported cases as a percentage of the total population are 1% to 2% range in most of south India
👉while a good part of central and north so far has only reported <0.5% as covid positive
5/
👉A relatively low mortality rate of 1.45% at the national level
👉High variation across states
👉MH, GJ, PB & SK having the highest MR
6/
👉Trends in mortality rates for both closed cases (recovered+deceased) and total cases
👉High variations in these rates are apparent in most states
👉Mortality rate increasing in many states: KL, DL, OD, HR, BR, AS, PB, JH, GJ, HP, Manipur, Arunachal, NG, MZ & Sikkim
7/
👉Variations in mortality rates are even starker as we go down the district level.
👉Ahmedabad (4%) Ludhiana (3.9%) have the highest mortality rate while many other districts in the top 50 are at 3% or more
8/
👉Trends in daily test per million per day and test positive rate across states
👉Daily avg. testing seem to have reduced in several states including Maharashtra, Odisha, Haryana, Gujarat, Tripura, Manipur, Chandigarh & Arunachal Pradesh
9/
👉All states are showing a declining trend in daily new reported cases
10/
👉Top 50 districts in India in terms of total cases
👉50.4% of cases & 57.9% of deaths now come from these districts
👉This share has been steadily dwindling
👉Some districts in Kerala including Ernakulam, Thrissur, Kollam, and Alapuzha are reporting new daily highs
(11/n)
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