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Today, taxpayer funded ads from the Ontario government will run during the Super Bowl. Leaving aside everything else that wrong with this, imo, the commercial ends, troublingly, with this statement:
"Until we all get the vaccine, stay home, save lives." https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/first-look-at-ontario-government-s-gritty-covid-19-super-bowl-commercials-1.5297901
"Until we all get the vaccine, stay home, save lives." https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/first-look-at-ontario-government-s-gritty-covid-19-super-bowl-commercials-1.5297901
This continued messaging of near total population vaccination as prerequisite for resuming anything resembling normal life continues to defy reason, given that 88% of Ontario’s CoVID19 mortality, sadly, is in the 70+ ages…
I have been sharing this chart for well over a month. It shows, simply and logically, that given the 70+ ages are just 12% of the population, the vaccination "hurdle" for material mortality reduction is relatively small (12% of pop=88% of C19 mortality). https://twitter.com/rubiconcapital_/status/1344087980345094144?s=20
But of course, some might say; Kelly, what about the other 12% of the C-19 mortality in those under 69? Well, good question. Fortunately (but sadly), that 12% of mortality *occurs at an extremely low case fatality rate* of just:
0.21% (or a 99.79% survival rate)
0.21% (or a 99.79% survival rate)
…so when those over 70+ ages, representing 12% of the population, are vaccinated (and vaccines were effective), the remaining “unvaccinated”, age-stratified case fatality rates would look like this (from 2nd wave):
Therefore, in my view, the [expensive] public health message of “stay at home until we all get the vaccine” is unfounded, and continued societal/economic shutdown unjustified, esp if we protect and prioritize for vaccination those 70+ (who want vaccination).
#openeverythingnow.
#openeverythingnow.
