#Bayesian

Jeffrey Girard

jeffreymgirard

Here is a thread summarizing our new #psychology paper "Reconsidering the Duchenne Smile," now in press in the Affective Science journal @affectScience. I worked really hard on this and can't

Ari Paul ⛓️

AriDavidPaul

Paradox #11 (the big one): *The Two Envelopes Paradox* This is a genuine paradox generating ongoing debate among mathematicians, economists, and logicians. It drives new traders crazy since it undermines

Giovanni Ricco

ricco_giovanni

`A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation' w/ @ThomasHasenzagl, F. Pellegrino and @LucreziaReichlihas been accepted for publication at The Review of Economics and Statistics.Our last draft is here:https://www.giovanni-ricco.com/single

Rita Faria

RitaINdeFaria

I'm now logging into #ISPOREurope live session IP3: The Meaning of Cure – the Search for What? with @NRLatimer, @BettinaRyll, and K. Jack Ishak and Ágnes Benedict from @evideraglobal https://ispor-europe2020.secure-platform.com/a/gal

Neuro Polarbear

NeuroPolarbear

New paper, "Continuous Decisions" in PTRSB w/ @neuromochi and @jmxpearson. We argue that the neuroscience of decision-making is too narrowly focused on a very particular subtype - choices with small

oldeuropeanculture

serbiaireland

Thread (longish but hopefully interesting): This is Dolmen of Pierre-Alot, France...I would here like to talk about three interesting articles I read this week, which together, might shed some new

Sophia Batchelor @NMA

brainonsilicon

So it’s Causality day at @neuromatch - a day many of us have been looking forward to - and between the tutorials and Q&A I thought a might be

Jeffrey Barrett

jcbarret

Out today: two academic publications (not yet peer reviewed) that formally test whether the new B.1.1.7 variant is more transmissible. Both conclude yes, about 50% more. First, a pre-print

Lee Jones

DrLeeJones

This speech is long, but well worth a read if you're genuinely interested in understanding the contemporary Tory project. Quick thread.1/9https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/1277017358788419585 In January, I described how Johnson'

Trevor Bedford

trvrb

Given that the US has not detected SARS-CoV-2 variant viruses 501Y.V1 or 501Y.V2, what bounds can we place on their current frequency in the US based on sample counts? 1/12https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1341446447045087232

Jordan Peeples

JordanPeeples4

*A thread for upcoming first-year Econ PhD students*As the academic year is approaching, I would like to give brief advice based on my experience as a first-year PhD student who

Andrew J. Roger

andrewjroger

Long branch attraction explained! Ed Susko and I have been investigating the reasons why long branches tend to attract in phylogenetic analyses. This paper provides new insights into why this

Andrew Gordon Wilson

andrewgwils

There is a lot of often overlooked evidence that standard p(w) = N(0, a*I) priors combined with a NN f(x,w) induce a distribution over functions p(f(x)) with useful properties!... 1/15

John Mandrola, MD

drjohnm

Ok at the request of @PerPersvensson let's do a Bayes Analysis of the HERS trial circa JAMA 1999Estrogen/progesterone vs Placebo for reduction of MI/CV death.https://twitter.com/PerPersvensson/status/1355426831797772290 Here are the eve

Dr Rebecca Lawson

beckyneuro

Now that @danieljamesyon's smashing commentary has come out I think it's a good time to (temporarily) break my Twitter ban to make a thread about our latest paper in @CurrentBiology

Christie Hamilton

ROIChristie

1/ In honor of Monday: A review of key academic research relating to modern portfolio mgmt—the foundation of everything we do—in tweet.In the beginning there was darkness, Harry Markowitz speaks:

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