#Estimates

Steve Brown

stevebrown2856

(1/13) The curious case of COVID-19 trends in London vs the rest of England, and the case for resistance in the population: A thread. The graph below shows the trend

Laurence Howe

laurencejmshowe

A short summary of a preprint on interpreting Mendelian randomization analyses with categorical exposures with @nm_davies @mendel_random and @tudballstats https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.14.20248168v1 (1.) Categorical phenot

Nick Jones

Grainjones

Nice update from Stephen Roman on Crux. $GLOMarket cap today C$250 or ~$195 mln.Nice to hear that their zinc JV is running at capacity of 110,000 eafd. 110,000 wasn't even

Executium

executium

Some Convertible Bond valuation estimates from us for $MSTR CB using the @business OVCV OAS function. Using a implied volatility of 100.4 (about 1 year implied), base credit spread of

Kai Kupferschmidt

kakape

We’re in a new year and we have also entered a new phase of this pandemic. So I thought I’d start off the new year with a quick catch-up thread

Health Nerd

GidMK

John Ioannidis, of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame, has now had his paper on IFR publishedLet's do one, final, twitter peer-review on the study 1/n 2/n You can

Andrew Bostom, MD, MS

andrewbostom

1/ Top German Covid expert pours scorn on Boris Johnson's ‘mutant strain’ claims, saying ‘politicians simply called it 70% more infectious’https://mol.im/a/9075233 2/ "Suddenly there's a figure out there, 70%, &am

HM Treasury

hmtreasury

1/ The UK calculates economic growth in a different way to many other countries – more comparable approaches of GDP measurement show our performance is closer in line with our

Asher Wolf

Asher_Wolf

I told you this was gonna happen in June https://twitter.com/asher_wolf/status/1275277952947638274?s=21 https://twitter.com/stephenjonesmp/status/1334379708167819265 Here’s the other side to it: if you don’t get a Centrelink payment or

Michael Li 李之樸

mcpli

Based on the new population projections released by Census Bureau today, New York would lose two congressional districts rather than one - but we will have to see how numbers

SNP CORRUPTION

Janela_X

Here we go - a few videos of Nippy doing what Nippy does best - distorting the truth.First up she has a wee strop as she got told not to

Kimberly Clausing

KClausing

(1/10) What do we learn about profit shifting from the new country by country data? At least five important lessons! My new paper from Tax Notes (Fed/Intl) is now publicly

Chris Blattman

cblatts

A thread on @mmoralmo's amazing job market paper, one of the best crime/social policy papers I've seen.Suppose you're mayor. You learn that a program--maybe it's drug treatment, lighting, social services,

Aaron Sojourner

aaronsojourner

Women lost 156K jobs last month while men gained 16K, per @BLS_gov.Gender differences in loss rates in industry (figure) can't explain it.Instead, industry job loss rates strongly correlate (r=0.4) w/women's

Rafael Schultze-Kraft

n3ocortex

"2% of accounts control 95% of all #Bitcoin "Wrong.BTC ownership is much less concentrated than often reported – and has dispersed over time.Meanwhile, whale supply has increased – suggesting

David Macdonald

DavidMacCdn

Fed paid leave is way overblown. Only 5% of hours couldn't be worked. Sure 27% of fed public servants claimed 699 leave but very small impact compared to overall pay.

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