#Estimates

Jason Kishineff 🌍 🇺🇸 🌹✌️🌻🌺

kishineff

Given that the DNC and the media rigged the 2016 primary, as admitted by current DNC Chair Tom Perez (https://observer.com/2017/02/dnc-chair-candidate-tom-perez-admits-democratic-primaries-rigged/ ) and Barack Obama's role in "acce

Fabrizio Venditti

F_Vend

You like econometrics and use "local projections" because they let you do smart tricks, like exploring the non-linear effects of large vs small financial shocks on output? New paper by

Chris Giles

ChrisGiles_

When it's all pretty grim on the Covid-19 front, here is a piece of relatively good news...There are now fewer excess deaths in the second wave than we might have

Marina Amaral

marinamaral2

Group of Breaker boys. Smallest is Sam Belloma. Pine Street, 1911. Original by Lewis Hine. This guy. In the early 1900s, Hine traveled across the United States to photograph preteen

alex cardazzi

ACardazzi

Been interested in the excess non-COVID deaths the past few months. Interesting June NYT article estimates 6K EXTRA heart disease related deaths in NY/NJ from mid March to beginning of

James Wang

jwangARK

ARK's Big Ideas 2020 deck is here—a year of research packed into 80 slides covering AI, robotics, autonomous, genomics, bitcoin, and more.Download: https://ark-invest.com/big-ideas-2020 Here are 5 slides that really hit it

Jodi Ettenberg

legalnomads

For election-anxiety purposes, a thread with some information.1) A list of the times that final polls close in each state, along with the number of electoral votes each has (electoral

Lyman Stone 石來民

lymanstoneky

It's death day, but I'm choosing optimism today, so we're going to start with a chart about vaccinations. Here's the likely population share that has had COVID vs. the share

a h

alexharfouche1

1/8 Thread I reacted to the JPM projections earlier and many have asked why do I consider this to be total bullshit. Here is a detailed analysis that debunks these

Steve Hauck 🚀🛰🌔

hauck

Did you know... that Mercury is basically a big ball of gooey iron wrapped in a thin and crunchy rock shell? How do we know that? &... is that the

Rosie Williams #AusGovInfo

Info_Aus

I have spent the last couple of years working quite extensively on transparency in the NFP sector with a particular focus on religious organisations, which enjoy many privileges in law

Daniel Davis

dr_danieldavis

Workplace strategists: stop asking people how many days they'd like to work at home. It's a worthless question. Yet two studies I saw today based their headline findings on it.

Marco Piani

Marco_Piani

Glad to announce the publication of the @globalriskfs/@evolutionQinc 2020 Quantum Threat Timeline Report, which I co-authored with Michele Mosca. This is an update of the 2019 report, and includes the

Pernille Rudlin/Rudlin Consulting

pernilleru

Third of Japan companies based in UK fear Brexit will hurt business. 10% will reduce presence in UK. None are going to expand. 1/https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Third-of-Japan-companies-fear-Brexit-will-hurt-busines

Luca

LucaAmb

1/?) Since a lot of you liked my book suggesting, I decided to make a short thread about the difference between frequentism and Bayesianism. Enjoy! 2/?) In frequntist statistics, observations

Adam Kucharski

AdamJKucharski

There's been a bit of confusion about the shape of some of the ONS modelled infection estimates, and subsequent updates to the curves - even from people who spend a

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