#Predictions

Roger Pielke Jr.

RogerPielkeJr

My 2020 year-in-review thread1. A “Sedative” for Science Policy @ISSUESinST A critical look at Vannevar Bush's Science: The Endless Frontier at 75https://issues.org/endless-frontier-sedative-for-science-policy-pielke/ 2. Memo for Pr

Vladimir Haltakov

haltakov

Machine Learning Formulas Explained This is the formula for Mean Squared Error (MSE) as defined in WikiPedia. It represents a very simple concept, but may not be easy to read

Max Burns

themaxburns

There's not much discussion of Nokia and Blackberry today among meme traders. That could be because both "to the moon" meme stocks have catered by almost 25% since the market

Teni T. 😷

aloinett

On the WTO - like most people, I didn't think much about them until the announcement that NOI was nominated for the top position. Even then, I didn't engage much

Adam Kucharski

AdamJKucharski

Why do COVID-19 modelling groups typically produce ‘scenarios’ rather than long-term forecasts when exploring possible epidemic dynamics? A short thread... 1/ Coverage of modelling is often framed as if epidemics

Matt Bevan 🎙

MatthewBevan

Some people have asked if this thread can be done for UK time, so here we go... (bad news, most of it is happening in the middle of your night)https://twitter.com/MatthewBevan/status/1323114176944857088

James West

ejwwest

Let’s examine the “Galileo gambit” in more detail.If you’re a Hunter gatherer community or Neolithic farmer, the world is flat. In fact if you’re a medieval peasant who rarely goes

The Mountain Goats

mountain_goats

having a cup of tea while waiting for a shortening / molasses / boiling water / brown sugar slurry to cool enough to add yeast to it, so hey, howzabout

Hyon S Chu

hyonschu

In many circles in San Francisco, if you don't think President Trump is an absolute piece of shit, you lose status. And people think you are less than intelligent. And

Michael Wemyss

MichaelWemyss

My story to #ERCCoG 2020, a thread. A self-help guide to the younger me, and lessons I keep coming back to: My ERC Starting Grant was rejected in 2012. It

dave karpf

davekarpf

Okay, I’ve got a couple of election-aftermath takes I want to share. Each of these ought to be a column, but parenting in apandemicisexhausting. (1/who knows?) First, I know

Matt Bevan 🎙

MatthewBevan

Ok the number one question people are asking me (and everyone who follows this) is when on Wednesday are things happening... so here you go - all times are Canberra/Melbourne/Sydney

vanessa beeley

VanessaBeeley

THE PANDEMIC IS OVER. #Covid19 is finished. THREAD: 1. Mike Yeadon, Pfizer ex-chief scientific advisor.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Su0wMysBYPM'Ferguson's model has no validity in view of most scientists.'"Most scientist

Santiago

svpino

11 key concepts of Machine Learning.— Supervised Learning Edition — Before starting, remember that, if you follow me, one of your enemies will be immediately destroyed (and you'll get to

Ven Popov

venpopov

Finally got around to reading this and have a few comments. It's a very good introduction to modeling distributions, rather than point estimates, with multilevel modeling approaches. It illustrates nicely

Ryan Lizza

RyanLizza

From POLITICO Nightly tonight...https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-nightly-coronavirus-special-edition/2020/06/16/mike-pences-abrupt-covid-shift-489544 VEEP IN THOUGHT — Since February there has been a rift inside the White Hou

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