#Probability

John P. Hussman, Ph.D.

hussmanjp

THREAD: Extending the #SARSCoV2 (#COVID_19) updates I started on Feb 2nd (when U.S. had only 5 cases). Each thread has a final post linking to the next.Slow motion train wreck.Click

Dan Emmons

Emmonspired

Sometimes life is literally the difference between having the balls to go for it & living a life of quiet desperation. I went for it because I felt the time

Maarten van Smeden

MaartenvSmeden

Personal top 10 fallacies and paradoxes in statistics1. Absence of evidence fallacy2. Ecological fallacy3. Stein’s paradox4. Lord’s paradox5. Simpson’s paradox 6. Berkson’s paradox7. Prosecutors fallacy8. Gambler’s fallacy9. Linds

Steve Magness

stevemagness

THREAD The world is littered with hacks and quick fixes.Magic routines, butter in our coffee, special supplements, exotic foods. All promising to transform our lives.Nearly all of it is BS.

People often ask me how to build better intuitions about different machine learning and deep learning methods. This is a thread about my experience (as an NLP Researcher) building better

Benjamin Strick

BenDoBrown

A copypasta campaign in India is targeting politically-sensitive tags #TMCHataoBanglaBachao & #KrishokSurokhaAbhijan on Twitter. I captured data over the past week for analysis. Report: https://benjaminstrick.com/twitter-analysis-identi

Liminal Warmth ❤️

liminal_warmth

1/ It's probably about time that I did another occult research update, and I specifically want to talk about Tarot today. 2/ I get asked about Tarot all the time

Anti-Bullshit Alien

LennieMerrick1

“Fanatical Remainers and the FBPE cult”: a threadThe populist right seems to be intensifying its efforts to portray supporters of EU membership as some sort of lunatic fringe. (Never-knowingly-impartial @afneil

Sahil Bloom

SahilBloom

Second-Order Thinking 101We live in a world of complex systems that punish simple, linear thinking. The greatest minds consistently use second-order thinking to solve problems.But what is "second-order thinking" and

Ann Marie Kumfer

AnnKumfer

#tweetorial To obtain blood cultures or not to culture? This was inspired by the ? from @reverendofdoubt and @GermHunterMD reply.A pt w/ a hip fracture on POD1 has fever of

Beͫvͣaͬnͨd

zorinaq

I dusted off my COVID-19 model (that predicted the Florida July wave) & applied it to SwedenAfter today's data update from the Swedish Public Health Agency (FHM) I confidently forecast

Saad Bhamla

BhamlaLab

New paper out in @PNASNews from joint collaboration with Dan Goldman's lab on collective dynamics in worm and robotic blobs.. A thread...https://www.pnas.org/content/118/6/e2010542118 Back in 2016/17, i stumbled upon these california

Lyn Alden

LynAldenContact

Here’s a new thread on the dollar, swap lines, and the treasury market. With lots of charts.AKA “Why the global dollar shortage is not insurmountable.” There is $250+ trillion of

ifrit

metadiogenes

When a blacksmith forges a sword, he heats the iron until glowing red, then plunges it into sand to cool. Before, the sword is hard and brittle from being hammered;

Cory Morningstar

elleprovocateur

PR firms prepare 60-80% of global news while 6 media corps control lion's share of global news. [Giants: the Global Power Elite by P Phillips]. Contemplating the sound question "what

Just Gabriel

FPLLens

#FPLMatchups #GW24 + #GW25A Potpourri of Little PrincesWelcome back to FPL Matchups; my weekly think piece where I use my coaching lens to explore matchups in the #PL to gain

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