#Probability

Bill Hanage

BillHanage

Some recent credible studies from the UK suggest that the variant B.1.1.7 which was first detected there is not only more transmissible but associated with greater severity, measured by deaths.

Kiri

kiriparr

1/ @BradyHeywood dropped his latest podcast last night and he said I’d love it. https://www.bradyheywood.com.au/podcasts/ My promised commentary follows. 2/ In this podcast, Sean Brady bites off the gnarly

Amr Elseweifi

elseweifia

In this thread is a problem solving guide I have written for students in STEM. Bear in mind that these techniques specifically apply to problems in non-proof based mathematics and

Mahmut Demir

mah_demir

Could you find your way to the coffee shop in a stormy weather by just smelling the coffee? Well, flies #Drosophila can do! How? My recent article on @eLife will

Jonas Svensson

jaralaus

Some thoughts on optional stopping methods, inspired by tweet from @Lakens https://twitter.com/lakens/status/1354427078368784388?s=20. The cast (in order of appearance): Sequential Bayes Factors (SBF), Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPR

Wall St. Dropout

WallSt_Dropout

1/n I'm trying to challenge my historical bias on valuationIn a digital-first economy, barriers to entry are low, but barriers to scale are high. Scale =Terminal value The Q: How

Steve

TheTradingTramp

A Thread of How I Lost $32'000 with 2 bad Trades My absence here on CT due to me being sick was also a time where I went through mental

Myles McNulty

MylesMcNulty

Quick recap on @avacta #AVCT's #COVID19 LFT.By the end of next week, the Co intends to have put out a comprehensive TU.Critically, it will include the sensitivity / specificity of

Dean Sterrett

dean_sterrett

Why is $GME a perfect storm?HINT: It's not just a traditional short squeezeA thread Gamestop was heavily shorted, which means people (firms & individuals) borrowed stock and resold it,

Trader knight

Traderknight007

A thread on Pyramiding- What is pyramiding?In pyramiding we add on to a position when it is going in our direction. Its basically opposite of averaging down.MOMENTUM - Success of

Mark Changizi

MarkChangizi

1/I N C R E D I B L E New paper shows how confusion between CFR and IFR undergirds the original March case for lockdowns, and the hysteria in

Lin

sendoh34

1/ There has been a lot of talks about value losing to growth recently. Here is my take on why value is losing and the fallacy of the value investing

Mitch Morse

WittyUsername30

Some highlights / takeaways / thoughts / comments from #RWRI 14, Day 6:1. Chaotic systems occur when tiny differences in initial conditions result in wildly different results (e.g. changing a

Hyun Song Shin

HyunSongShin

Inflation tail risks have risen, mostly to the downside but some also to the upside Today's #BIS_Bulletin sorts through the caseshttps://www.bis.org/publ/bisbull28.htm Phillips curve reasoning carries us a long way: subdued

Jessica Hullman

JessicaHullman

It's election forecast time! But can we take @FiveThirtyEight or @Economist forecasts at face value? What are forecasters' goals & incentives, especially post 2016 disillusionment? Excited to share a new

Derek (Lid on Likes) (#Kraken Emeritus)

PereGrimmer

The reason I am truly concerned about some sort of mass populist violence incident, and then guerilla terrorism etc., if Trump's claims are not fully mooted in court (full evidentiary

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