#Probability

Professor Philip Nolan

President_MU

We need to limit the number of close contacts we have each day and each week. SARS-CoV-2 transmits through prolonged close contact. What do we mean by close? The virus

Ulf Aslak

ulfaslak

New paper out!https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2909-1We present a simple model that captures the scales of human mobility, and explain why it was previously thought that human mobility was scale-free.Tiny summary . It's not

José Alencar

josenalencar

[ENG] Nicolas had a diagnosis that, according to his doctor, needs urgent surgery.In fact, he had an “overdiagnosis” and his futile treatment had a tragic outcome.Nicolas is grateful and represents

Laure Wynants

laure_wynants

TWEETORIAL on why the number of additional detected cases is a bad choice of primary outcome for trials of AI interventions testing physician with vs without AI support. This was

Dannielle (Dossy) Blumenthal PhD

DrDannielle

Just to capture “D5” because I actually don’t know what this is. I mean I get that today is December 5.I get that people expect something to happen of a

Mitch Morse

WittyUsername30

Some highlights / takeaways / thoughts / comments from #RWRI 14, Day 4 (probably my favorite day thus far):1. If the payout is convex, you don't care about the average;

Carl T. Bergstrom

CT_Bergstrom

1. This thread about an important paper from @jonassjuul, K. Græsbøll, L. Christiansen, and @suneman will be more technical than usual.The paper addresses how to depict ranges of outcomes in

Martin B. Lukac

mblukac

Are you running a conjoint experiment and struggling with design considerations? Unsure about how many respondents, trials or levels for a variable are needed? We have all been there. Don’t

Bloomberg Opinion

bopinion

You’ve heard the scenarios:Trump loses but refuses to leave.Biden loses but refuses to concede.Absentee ballots aren’t counted.The angry left takes to the streets.The angry right takes to the streets.Lawyers take

Atharva Kharbade

athrvakhrbde

The 16 Best Things @elonmusk BelievesA Thread 1/1. “[…] problems that are likely to most affect the future of humanity?”Making money is no longer Elon Musk’s primary goal. Forbes says

Mohammad Akbarpour

akbarpour_

Today is @ShengwuLi's birthday! An incredible coauthor! An excuse to write about our ECTA paper on "credible mechanisms."There, we made a theoretical prediction that in the online world, real 2nd-price

The Profitabull | Invest Better | Think Better

theprofitabull

Build Your Portfolio The Marwari WayTHREAD Today we are going to review a book called The Dhandho Investor by Mohnish Pabrai, who is a true disciple of Warren Buffett and

Ashley Reynolds

ashinonyx

I know things are A LOT right now, but hopefully this will bring a little joy: we just published on some sabrecat siblings and the story they tell about how

Lane

HaygoodLaw

Ah Christ this stuff never ends. I recall hearing panicky stories like this back in the 90s.https://twitter.com/CathyYoung63/status/1329577678136020995 For a certain segment of society, "rational thought" just means "things t

Mark Changizi

MarkChangizi

0/ Thread on how mass-media-induced fear of COVID irrationally transformed our priors.I have talked a lot about the mass hysteria that was created...https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1239995212572876802?s=20This thread gets more at th

Overpay Vaccinators

GarettJones

If you decide to have kids, is it good to raise them to be pro-social, kind, anti-racist?Of course it is.And if science makes it possible to use IVF preimplantation diagnosis

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