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Paul Jakma
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The "Imperial group" Flaxman et al paper in Nature is the scientific corner-stone justifying "lock down" public health policies. As that paper says many and strict NPIs are better than
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An interesting paper on lessons from Foot and Mouth outbreak in UK, and mathematical modelling:https://www.research.ed.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/use-and-abuse-of-mathematical-models-an-illustration-from-the-2001-foot-and-mouth-disease-ep
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