#Probability

Brendan Kent

brendankent

Win Probability, Explained What is win probability? How does it work? Is it ever "correct"?If you ever find yourself asking these questions, this thread is for you 1/ Win

Strategist & Trader

uddeshya_kumar_

ALL ABOUT RECTANGLE PATTERN & HOW TO TRADE IT !- Rectangle pattern consists of two horizontal line. One line acts as a support and other horizontal lines act as the

ChristosArgyropoulos

ChristosArgyrop

Let's analyze the dialysis case from yesterday. We need to know : a) the SAR (Secondary Attack Rate) of COVID19 for household transmission (pt had largely sheltered in, so could

Wille 🇸🇪🇫🇮🇬🇧🇨🇭

wfaler

Swedens strategy has been that of a drunken gambler going all in from day 1.Even with little knowledge of the virus it was reckless, let’s look at why: asymmetric risk:Even

David Steets

indievesting

1/x The Path of Maximum PainA mind game from Mr. Market’s perspective.Given current, obviously stretched positioning and sentiment extremes, a 2010-style $SPX double pullback / correction may cause most distress

𝙼𝚊𝚛𝚝𝚢 𝙳𝚞𝚛𝚎𝚗

martyduren

Guy who used to work for LifeWay here. Curriculum is developed months to years in advance; I know because I wrote a couple of lessons, a lot of devotionals, outlines,

Gro-Tsen

gro_tsen

This leads me to mention my favorite epistemological question, to which I know no satisfactory answer. Imagine I flip a coin: Hayden says it will fall on heads for sure,

Z Bolay Buss

buss_patriarchy

Thinking more abt the whole CBT as glorified gaslighting issue & how one of the supposed “thought distortions” is “catastrophizing” but I haven’t seen the reverse “minimizing” labeled as a

Adam Kucharski

AdamJKucharski

Because SARS-CoV-2 testing often happens after symptoms appear, it's been difficult to estimate detection probability early in infection. So great to collaborate with team at @TheCrick & @ucl to tackle

Valentin Amrhein

vamrhein

I think we should start most papers with "How does Y change in response to X?" (or correlate with X) rather than "Does Y change in response to X?" Thanks

Micah Pollak

MicahPollak

Now that #Indiana is moving beyond vaccinating front-line healthcare workers first (which mostly everyone agreed on) there's a lot of disagreement over who should get the #COVID19 vaccine next. A

Mr. Buyside

MrBuyside

Interesting research on market bubbles carried out in CFA institute book “Financial Market History”Empirical analysis of 115 years of market history present some fascinating results 1. A rapids boom is

Buck Swope

ShotTakingTime

Lots of nonsense being spewed on the social about these P6 syndicates and while I do not have the answers, I will let the Costco margaritas spew a few thoughts

Keletso Makofane, MPH

klts0

so - I once spent 1 billion hours copy-pasting little circles in powerpoint in an effort to explain *marginal structural models*. here is an unsolicited #tweetorial. If you understand regression

Ari Paul ⛓️

AriDavidPaul

Paradox #11 (the big one): *The Two Envelopes Paradox* This is a genuine paradox generating ongoing debate among mathematicians, economists, and logicians. It drives new traders crazy since it undermines

Emperor👑

EmperorBTC

Beginners are obsessed with complicated strategies.Simple methods work wonders in the long run. I will show you an EMA strategy to make big money without any leverage.Simple doesn't mean low

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